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Be Prepared

Have a Plan!

Make a Hurricane Kit

Have a Place to Go

Secure Your Home

Don't Forget Your Pets!


Do you have pictures from a hurricane that impacted North Carolina?  If so, email them to Public Radio East!  They could end up on our website.

2008 Hurricane Season Outlook
What can North Carolina Expect for the 2008 Hurricane Season?

Read the National Weather Service/NOAA Hurricane Season Outlook!



Forecasters say we’re in for an above average hurricane season this year.  Before the official start of hurricane season, Tropical storm Alma struck land along the northwest corner of Nicaragua with maximum sustained winds of 65 miles per hour.  A hurricane is an intense, rotating, oceanic weather system that possesses maximum sustained winds exceeding 74 miles per hour. John Cole, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Newport says most hurricanes originate off the coast of Africa generally out of an easterly wave.

We get about 100 of these waves off the coast of Africa; about 10 percent develop per year.  So we have an average of about 10 named storms per year…ten or eleven now.  We’ve actually been more active over the past 10 to 12 years.

Hurricanes are categorized  to show the intensity of wind speed, central barometric pressure, and storm surge.  This system of measuring is known as the Saffir-Simpson scale.  The scale was developed in 1971 by civil engineer Herbert Saffir and meteorologist Bob Simpson, who at the time was director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center.  

We actually name tropical systems when they obtain wind speeds of 39 to 73 miles per hour, and the Hurricane Center will name these systems. When the storm reaches 74 miles per hour, and has a distinctive rotary circulation, then we categorize with the Saffir-Simpson scale, from category 1 thru category 5.  Category 1 and 2 hurricanes are weaker hurricanes, a category 3,4, and 5 are considered major hurricanes with sustained winds over 110 miles per hour. 

The names of hurricanes are chosen by the World Organization and they’re re-cycled about every four years, that is… if they aren’t retired. 

Storms like Isabelle that had an impact on the east coast, including North Carolina are retired.  Storms like Fran, like Camille, Katrina, you won’t see anymore because those storm names are retired.

The National Weather Service announced a near normal or above normal hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin this year.  Cole says they are monitoring La Nina conditions around the tropics of the eastern Pacific Ocean.  He says the Pacific is going to be transitioning into neutral conditions, where the ocean is going from colder water temperatures, to normal conditions. 

And what that spells for us, is a more active hurricane season for the Atlantic waters.  During the opposite effect, El Nino, where you have warmer than normal water temperatures in the eastern Pacific, and that tends to cause shearing winds across the genesis areas of the Atlantic hurricane basin.  So you get a lot of shearing that knocks the tops off of thunderstorms not allowing them to grow.  So you have less activity during El Nino years. This year, we’re not expecting that.  We’re expecting more favorable atmosphere for the development of tropical cyclones. 

NOAA released their forecast for 2008 calling for 12 to 16 named storms.  Of those named systems, it is predicted that six to nine will develop into hurricanes, and 2 to 5 into major hurricanes.  These storms bring large amounts of rain and powerful winds to eastern North Carolina, but the most devastating effect of hurricanes for us is storm surge.  Storm surge is water that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm. Cole says out of all the threats associated with tropical weather, storm surge is the number one cause of deaths.

Fresh water flooding has taken more lives in the past 20 to 30 years.  And we only have to go back to 1999, with hurricane Floyd.  We lost 13 people in our county warning area alone, over 50 people perished from hurricane Floyd mainly related to the freshwater flooding effects, and that was a category 2 hurricane that made landfall here in north Carolina.

In an active hurricane season, it’s a good idea to start preparing as soon as possible.  If you plan to ride out the storm, Cole recommends making a kit with non-perishable food, extra batteries, flashlights, money, extra medications, a radio, and a gallon of water for each person for 3 to 4 days.  If your plan is to evacuate inland, make sure that you have an evacuation route and destination scheduled ahead of time.  Cole says not to return home until you receive notification that it’s safe. 

Make sure you don’t go into flooded areas.  One of the slogans in the National weather service is “turn around, don’t drown.”  We loose a lot of people after the fact, down lines, electrocutions a lot of people have lost their lives like that. 


For all your weather information including 24-hour coverage during hurricanes, listen to Public Radio East on 89.3, 88.5, 91.5, 90.3, and 88.1 FM.

The PRE Hurricane Kit!
Here are just a few items PRE is sure to include in its hurricane kit.  Some other suggestions can be found here.

Anatomy of a Hurricane

Preparing for major storms makes all the difference.  Some times it could mean the difference between life and death. Tropical weather can be prepared for.  And plans can be laid out well ahead of any advisories.  But to understand a hurricane, you must know the basics first.  John Cole, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Newport explains how hurricanes form…

 

Hurricanes develop from easterly waves in general.  About 100 come off the African Coast, and 10% develop into tropical cyclones.  And that would be depressions, tropical storms, hurricanes, and so basically a hurricane is a low pressure area in the atmosphere that rotates counter-clock wise. 

 

Around the African coast is where we look at for tropical activity.  Warm water temperatures especially around this time of the year make conditions ripe for tropical weather that could very well turn into a hurricane.

 

If the upper level conditions are right, that is if you have very minimal sheering winds in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, you can get updrafts within those thunderstorms and you can get a circulation that develops because of a force known as the Coriolis force.   So you get a low-pressure system developing, first its weak.  It’s a tropical depression with winds up to 39 mph.  And then as it intensifies, it gets a more distinct rotary circulation, and the winds increase to 39 to 73 mph.  And that’s when the National Hurricane Center in Miami names the systems.  And then when it develops winds of 74 mph or greater, then it’s a hurricane it’s categorized by the Saffir-Simpson scale.

 

The Saffir-Simpson scale is a 1-5 rating used to measure the intensity of a hurricane. It’s used to give an estimate of the potential property damage and flooding expected along the coast- from a hurricane landfall.  A category 1 or 2 hurricane is generally thought of as a fairly weak hurricane.  But Cole says that low number could be misleading.

 

We had an impact from a category 2 hurricane, Isabelle, up here in North Carolina, that had been a category 5 hurricane, and this particular hurricane was very large.  So the impact on the water area was significant, with significant surge, and it still had 100 mph sustained winds, so a category 2 hurricane can be very significant.

 

No matter the size of a hurricane, Cole says it’s always good to be prepared. 

 

You need to prepare early in the season. And I would say one of the main things is to have a disaster supplies kit already assembled prior to the hurricane season.  But it’s not too late to do that now.  But have enough supplies.  Enough water for 3-5 days, enough food supplies, non-perishable foods for that same length of time, plenty of medicine if you require that, have your car gassed up, you need to acquire the cash well in advance because the ATM machines are going to go down, you know, with the loss of electricity.  Have a plan of action.  Know where your family is going to go, know your evacuation routes, tell other family members or friends where you are going, so they can keep track of you as well.

 

Cole says that everyone should have a designated hurricane kit.  In the kit, you’ll want snacks, games for when the lights go out, flashlights, bug spray, fresh batteries, and a radio—so you can keep track as Public Radio East provides continuous storm coverage.   The wind that comes with hurricanes and tropical storms can cause a significant amount of damage.  Since eastern North Carolina is surrounded by large bodies of water, our geography makes us vulnerable to storm surge.  Storm surge occurs when water is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm.  John Cole considers storm surge to be the main threat to coastal areas.

 

We have a unique situation here in North Carolina, where we do have to worry about surge along the sounds, as well, and water level rises along the sounds.  With Hurricane Isabelle, level rises in Adams and Clubfoot Creek, Down East Carteret County, Craven County, went to 10 to 11 feet, and we had a 6 to 8 foot storm surge on the outer banks from a category 2 hurricane making landfall in Down East Carteret County.  So, storm surge is one of the biggest factors I think still has the potential of taking more lives than any other treat of a hurricane. 

 

Even though storm surge is potentially the most dangerous to those along the coast, the biggest threat to the majority of the region is the heavy rains that come with hurricanes.  

 

The last 30 years, more lives have been lost from inland freshwater flooding, than from any other threat from hurricanes.  We lost over 50 lives in North Carolina from Hurricane Floyd in 1999, with the river flooding and fresh water flooding effects. 

 

So far this year, eastern North Carolina hasn’t seen much tropical weather.  Two forecasters at Colorado State University lowered their storm predictions numbers for the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane season.  Cole says there’s still time left in the season, and more storms could occur.

 

This year we’re expecting a much above normal year.  The predictions from NOAA are now 13 to 16 named storms, seven to nine hurricanes, and of those hurricanes, we expect three to five hurricanes to become major hurricanes with winds over 110 mph.  Everyone’s expecting a very active year, of course we’re already up to storm number five now.

 

Knowing how a hurricane works, what to look out for, and how to prepare for a hurricane can ensure the safety of you and your family during the severe weather event.  For updates and information on closings and delays, severe weather updates, and weather advisories, stay tuned to Public Radio East and visit our website www.publicradioeast.org

Jared Brumbaugh

Providing Emergency Shelter For Our Pets

With about 73 million pet dogs and approximately 90 million claimed cats in the United States, it’s no wonder that legislation was implemented to provide pets with shelter in emergency evacuations.   In October of 2006, the Stafford Act was passed giving FEMA responsibility for coordinating government wide relief efforts.  The bill was in response to the situation along the Gulf Coast following Hurricane Katrina when many pets were seperated from their owners, or in some cases, the owners didn’t evacuate because of their pets.  Since then, polices have been put into place requiring facilitys to hold both pets and their owners.  Alan Smith, Carteret County Emergency Services Director, says the passing of the Stafford Act required the county to establish a pet friendly shelter.  With the support of other organizations, the county is working to provide space that is clean, safe, and properly run.

“We have a partnership with a couple of different organizations, PAWS being one, as well as  the Carteret County Humane Society.  Our primary shelter, which is located at Newport Middle School, this year will also have a pet wing that will allow those evacuees who have domesticated animals to re-register and provide information to us so we can accept their pets during an evacuation process.” 

Most counties will utilize volunteers to feed and care for animals.  But Norman Bryson, Assistant manager of Onslow County Emergency Services, says in the event of a hurricane or other natural disaster, the county will provide shelter for people and their pets, but will not use volunteer staff to help.  

“It allows for people who have dogs, cats, birds…anything of that nature to come in.  They have to be prepared.  They have to bring their own food, and leashes, and be prepared to walk the animal.  Its not a situation where they can come in, drop off their animal, ads expect someone else to take care of it. The humans have to be housed at the same location as their animals are.” ording to Bryson,

Frank Moritz is a Stormwatcher for Public Radio East.  He normally evacuates to a hotel in severe weather, but now says he may take advantage of a local shelter in his area.

 “I might consider changing my plan and going to a shelter instead of a hotel.  The last time I went to a hotel, the lighting went off three times and where as at my mobile home, it never went off.  So I would certainly consider some other course of action for myself and my dog.

Paul VanHemel is also a Stormwatcher with Public Radio East.  He says he probably won’t use a shelter, but he’s ready to evacuate with his pet.

“We have a little canvas bag that has a two or three day supply of dog food in a Ziploc bag, couple of plastic bowls, chain so if we have to steak him out some place, and we also have an extra set of leashes in the bag. So when it comes time for us to travel, we just grab the canvas, shopping bag looking thing, and take off with the dog… it’s all preplanned.”

Roger Dail is the Emergency Services Director for Lenoir County. He advocates a solid plan like VanHemel’s and suggests a strategy that puts the pet owner in control, one that leaves emergency pet shelters open for those without other means.

Dail encourages the public to make prior arrangements for their pets, and use the shelter at a last resort. He suggests that you contact your local veterinarian office, and see if they’ll have room to board your pet,or  you could send you pet to a family member maybe further into the state. 

Every shelter has different requirements.  For information on the emergency evacuation plan for your area, contact your County Emergency Manager’s Office.

Jared Brumbaugh.

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Atlantic Storm Names

Arthur
Bertha
Christobal
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Gustav
Hanna
Ike
Josephine
Kyle
Laura
Marco
Nana
Omar
Paloma
Rene
Sally
Teddy
Vicky
Wilfred

Source: National Hurricane Center

ENC Weather

Kinston/Goldsboro



New Bern



Atlantic Beach/Beaufort






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